Putin is an Irrational Man

Crazy PutinThe situation in the Ukraine is the perfect demonstration of one of my guiding principles, “You can’t speak rationally to a person who is irrational.” In this case, throwback Vladimir Putin is the irrational one. He was a leader in the Cold War Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) era that believed, “you won’t kill me if you know I will kill you in return.” The acronym MAD was ironic…and not in a good way. If that isn’t irrational, what is?

There is much bloviating to suggest that if Obama had done this or that or something else this would never have happened. There is plenty of counter-bloviating that if George the Lesser hadn’t started two useless wars we’d have the moral high ground to force Putin out. Some people blame Europe for terminal jellyfish spine. Others think the CIA was asleep at the switch. Some think Ukraine is at fault for overthrowing a democratically elected leader. Others prefer The Big Dick Cheney approach, “Nuke the bastards and let the Big Guy Upstairs sort it out.”

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The Convictions of the Convinced: Don’t Count the Republicans Out Yet

Republicans are crazy

The convictions of the convinced are dangerous. Democratic conventional wisdom is that Republican alienation of almost every voter block in the nation, including many of their own, makes for a Dem sweep in the next cycle. Don’t count your votes before they’re cast, especially when Republicans are jacking voting laws at will.

The Republicans aren’t just in a civil war, they’re nuking, chemically attacking, and hand-to-hand combatting each other. The rest of the country is collateral damage. The only thing they all agree on is “this crazy shit’s gotta stop” as they do the craziest shit imaginable.

Tea Partiers have the mistaken impression the country is no longer “center right”, but somewhere to the right of Genghis Khan. They pull right like a Model T with a missing wheel. Meanwhile, the rest of the country pulls left like a car needing an alignment job. The country is becoming center/center as a response to the extremism of the Grand Old (Tea) Partiers and it’s an ever-quicker shift. The result: the Teas think everyone else is a communist while everyone else thinks they are bat-shit crazy.

I have two guiding principles. Never try to speak rationally to the irrational and never underestimate the power of lunatics in large groups. Therein lies the danger in Democrats believing that showing up to watch the Republicans go all NRA on themselves and do a Columbine is enough.

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